RRR:Real News Real Opinions Reality Checks ✅ elections special guest

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德克萨斯等红州意外翻蓝引发对共和党败因的讨论,主讲人认为关键在独立选民与少数族裔因生活成本上升和对特朗普政策不满而倒戈,而非加州移民涌入。 - 内布拉斯加等红州同样出现翻蓝迹象,共和党在这些州丢失参议员和州长席位,情况超出“略微偏紫”的正常波动。 - 有人将败因归咎于加州人涌入德州,但数据不支持该说法:多数迁入德州者投票给共和党。 - 德州选民登记中民主党占46%、共和党仅约38.7%,登记结构对共和党不利。 - 边境城市大量拉丁裔转投特朗普,是对“承诺未兑现”的抗议性表态,而非认同民主党。 - 败选主因被归结为“观感”问题:移民执法方式欠妥、特朗普聚焦战争而非经济,独立选民、黑人及拉丁裔选民集体倒戈。 - 油价下跌8%至8.5%,印证特朗普所说此前经济被人为抬高的判断。 - 民主党大幅扩大参众两院优势(参议院+7、众议院约+50),可无需共和党配合推动议程,甚至发起弹劾;若特朗普与万斯被弹劾,众议院议长(如哈基姆·杰弗里斯)将成为第三顺位继承人。 - 对部分黑人和拉丁裔选民未关注政治、未出来投票表示失望,并质疑德州约200万人未投票的现象。 建议:与其纠结选民登记和人口流入的猜测,不如聚焦生活成本与经济议题、改善移民执法观感,才能赢回独立选民和少数族裔。

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Talk about this Texas and it wasn't just Texas. It was Nebraska. You know, that's hucky. Yeah, I was those are red states man They're not supposed to go blue. They're not supposed to go open. You know, they might slightly turn a little purple every now in a minute But we're not supposed to lose senators and governorships in these states One of the biggest problems that we see happening in Texas and everybody's talking about it Doesn't matter what space you're in. They're saying oh, it's because people are coming into California Tony Ortiz was just in the punch bone and he detailed that that data doesn't support that claim the majority of people that moved to Texas They vote Republican. I looked up the Secretary of State in Texas voting registrations for this last time the Republicans only had 38.00 like 7% while Democrat registrations were at 46% It's bad the majority of the Latinos that Trump got the border states, you know like the border cities I'll pass. So lots of screws says whatever all these places They flipped they all went and they told they basically used it to tell Trump listen We're mad. You didn't do what we were said you were gonna do But the thing is it all comes down to optics margistine, you know There was better ways of getting things done. There's a lot of things. They're still having got done and we're all kind of wondering like Yo, this is just gonna put a stop and these people that just won what they're gonna do is they're going to Unravel everything that he's been trying to do so it's gonna be Just non-stop law fair non-stop nonsense Instead of them actually addressing the issue of what supposedly they won today with was the economy right gas groceries all these things and we know They were all expensive we we understood this But even today if you look at the stock market oil is tanked 8% up to 8.5% It's just knows that even exactly what Trump said was gonna happen that it was artificially inflated now The where the voting rate was the voting rig or not. I don't know I really wish I had statistics, but the exit polling is not out yet I really wish I had that too to actually address that a lot of people say that black Americans in a large swath Decided to vote against Trump or not vote. There's a lot of people saying that two million people didn't show up to vote in Texas That's just Texas. I'm sure it happened in other states It's like why did they believe the hype and it just blows my mind guys You're all welcome to grab a mic everything's neutral whether you're pro or con Whatever you guys want to talk about we're good with it here You know my problem is Texas has become predominantly Hispanic and they're just they're just not oh and there's a lot of black folks They're not paying attention They're not paying attention which was a common man wants common man and woman wants some stuff You know, sorry, I'm at a warehouse and so All we see is our pocket but shrinking because everything's more expensive, right and Nothing's being done about that instead. He focused on the war. He shouldn't have done that He should have let waited to do this war thing until after we gave the Democrats everything they needed to flip the Independence that's who we lost I believe that the way of loss in most of these races was Independence yet GOP didn't show up but the coalition members and the independence Absolutely revolted along with the black vote and the Hispanic vote Texas Texas Nebraska Iowa those are heavy Hispanic areas if you guys have ever been out there There's a lot of factories out the chicken farms and all this other stuff that people work on The ice immigration rates the way they were doing it. There was better ways to go about this stuff We have more people self-deport than we actually deported They decided to leave because they knew you know what time it was They went back home or they went to Canada what not now we have real issues across the United States They gain control of the Senate and the House and Not by like one or two members. They gained access by a lot seven plus seven in the Senate and like plus 50 or something some crazy number in the house. I can't I can't remember But I looked at the number it was huge and so think about this They could impeach and remove and do whatever they want now They don't even have to ask the Republicans to actually come and and vote our way or oh come on We need your help to pass this they could start doing stuff right now As we speak Hakeem dress Jeffries is being nominated for the House Speaker and if you go back to that a Republicans thing right if you really want to go back to that if they impeach Trump and JD bands guess who becomes president The third in line, which is who? The guy that I just mentioned right Hakeem Jeffries So it's really concerning I see cap. What's up Goldie? What's going on come on up? Let's talk about this don't be scared anybody could grab a mic if you're frustrated and you want to let it out let it out I've invited Bianca Garcia to come in here. I don't know show drop in I invited my Floor as also to come in we need to start waking up and taking care of the people the people the comment You know middle class down get it. Yo, man Listen the rich elites. They got money. They ain't got to worry about nothing. They see a election Okay, who won whatever they still got fat pockets rest of us have to hustle, you know High-tech get to work through all these things to make it make ends meet every day So I'm just trying to say hey guys, you know what we're gonna do about this I mean we need to fight back and the way we fight back is we get mobilized and we push harder something has to change Right that's what I say I see Amanda through you Mike don't know if you can talk. Goldie anybody if not it's just me and Marjit see repost the space Let's get some voices in here anybody's welcome. I see con candy. Thank you for stopping in I already shouted out a you know, there's a bunch of new folks. I am barbed barbed 678. Hey What's up? The vibes in the place The way I feel as a person that really got The Democratic Party after I seen certain things going to 2024 election. I want to say It is disgusting and appalling that we have all these different occurrences that have been happening And then the people are still focused confused and If they if the reason why they did switch and then the reason why place of like Alabama But a trend into the and vote a trend I Everybody's ever been switched and then a swing state like Georgia now has Has Bottoms as a governor. It's if it's a comedy was truly the reason I Want to see some results the economy could and I have been the reason because the first thing that they did when they it was announced They had the majority of both the house and the Senate was the first thing they said was here come the last two get ready Lawyer us Where's the here come the the lower High higher wages where the lower gas prices know you guys don't care all you people care about is attacking Trump administration and anybody who lives of Trump and that's why I said last night when I saw it was going the way it was going I had said I Hope Trump does some preemptive party because I receive how this is going to go for the next couple of years They are going to do a witch hunt on anybody was aligned with Trump And Trump himself. It's crazy. It's disgusting. Very upsetting and For Americans because we able to be fed this propaganda especially a Michigan with Saeed a person that Lied and said that he was Egyptian And in a first that he had Egyptian in American citizenship Then all of a sudden he doesn't have Egyptian citizenship and now this man who has Who was pushing just three days ago? Crazzy as fucking gender propaganda As now that's position And it's good. It's over my It's It's shut out to hey Lee for really stepping out and stepping away from the Democratic Party and doing her shit But this is the horrible and I cannot believe what this country allows This country allowed this shit It's fucked up man. I want to bring a couple of people up um, I know And I know Ali has voted Ali had a video that was super viral I really hope when they do these crackdowns when they do these crackdowns they go over all this polling They look and see we're having a westerner just a county I believe there was another place in Michigan Everything needs to be looked over with a fine tool of cone Because it's too much going on and there's too many Swing state that term blue completely red states that went blue Red no one red state Everything needs to be looked over in my opinion. I think that there's um, there's a most a bill that was passed That they have to audit all elections. So every single ballot is going to be audited Just so you guys know Um, so that's gonna happen. So we're gonna find out if anybody was cheating something went wrong I believe that was passed with by President Trump Um, so these are important things. I want to welcome Celesta. I see your pay trade. Hey, what's up? Laurie? What's up? Laurie Lindeman? Uh, see some great people coming in Joe Natalie. What's up, y'all Let's not give up. It's okay. We live to fight another day. We just got to push harder next time Um, you know, I am upset about everything that happened And I really wanted to capture some of those things that happened. I really wish we had exit poll information already Um, I saw a ton of young people voting yesterday. It's a ton of young people voting yesterday Gen Z showed up in force. It was crazy Talk to me Celesta. What do you think? I don't know. Ringo. I didn't say very many here, but I'm in a small rural community So it's almost like The ones that supported Trump didn't show up because Things have gotten so hard for the That generation So I don't know We'll see What do you think about they're saying that a lot of people didn't show up, right? Yes, that's what they're saying I think it's true too Although at my precinct, they were busy busy busy And that was we voted early. That was like on Thursday So I don't know Uh, the turnout according to the statewide numbers Was way down. I know that much But not in our well, you know that Sorry, I'm in a warehouse. So you guys are gonna hear stuff um, you know, one of the things is um The Latino vote was a big big problem in Texas, Nebraska and New Mexico Obviously in the West Coast. It's huge Uh They feel like they're being left out black Americans too feel like they're being left out They're not being considered people that are pushing for certain things They're gonna see what happens now when they do the wrong thing, right? I was in my car driving my son in the morning. I said listen There's a big problem you guys want to be idealistic And think that you're doing the right thing you're not you need to pay attention when we're talking And why it's wrong to vote another way even if you're not happy about one single issue A lot of people say it was the war even from say oh, it's because of the war If you knew it's because of the war, then why'd you do it? Why couldn't you wait until after the midterms Where we secured control and continue to push our agenda including the immigration push right None of that got done now. We're stuck here. It's a big problem You know a lot of people don't want to talk about and don't want to recognize it. They don't want to recognize what we did wrong You know, yeah, I agree Yeah, and I think you're right about the black people especially It was shocking to me. I saw a graph um the number of black people have voted in 2024 and the number that voted now almost half of them Of that graph didn't go vote this time So there's something there That we need to figure out They need to stop pushing the protest vote these protests votes are not helping anybody further it hurts an American citizen every time They don't vote if you're an American citizen it is your civic duty. It is your right It's like your stamp that says I am not illegal. This is my country And you show up and you vote it doesn't matter how you vote But you got to vote that's what I always say they really pushed for that to happen and it did happen people stayed on the couch I even put a post up just recently with you know Charlie Murphy If you're a couch man But uh, yeah people chose to stay home and that is not good Not good at all, but we can't say we weren't warned You know Anybody that knew I was paying attention And they should have gotten to the head of the GOP These people are saying they're not going to come out and vote. They're going to stay home They didn't take that series. I don't think A lot of people that are in the midbrip ask Italy United States, you know farmers. They were mad about these oppressors Remember that these will price skyrocket. Yep guys grab a mic come up. Let's have this conversation Uh mean margin street and Celeste could talk all day a little bit, but then we're gonna get like two of us

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