Trump…. The good, the bad, and the ugly

high marks for the war in venezuela and the war in iran as far as the way that uh... we haven't sent our military in but unfortunately voters aren't impressed that's not what they're interested in the second concern on all the voters was um... the economy was uh... oh my gosh what was it uh... i'm sorry guys i'm gonna flip it this way the last thing on voters minds now it's a word ability yeah affordability thank you but i'm gonna go from the bottom up so what is not this is what i found interesting what is not concerning voters is the border in immigration which we were all there before let me put it this way republicans independence the ones that would help us win elections they're not talking about it and social issues whether we like it or not social issues played a big role in motive a motivating republicans to the polls that's not even being discussed now they also feel like trump is to authoritarian that he's taken too many liberties and voters are not impressed with that sixty percent of independence are saying that we had vote for trump and this last election says they may not vote republican that's all i have right now and so i can get home and pull up some notes and breakdown some other important facts but that's all i have right now guys and thank you christie put in who's the pitch you would have started seven skimmed world series may like that there's only one answer by stats and that's not a symbol gardener so that's a loaded question you can look it up not even i know you know that's your correct but good lord uh... i would take any of them but um... anyway that's alright but um... yes the thing i find interesting about your numbers is always the independent voters because those are ones ever gonna decide the election and it doesn't really matter to an extent what the left of the right does the independence of the independence or not with you then you're really real quick if we have in the in the independence in the space please come up and tell us how you feel if uh... we could get shawne i'm driving or i can't i'd like to see how he really feels about these issues that it's affecting you uh... thank you but because um... we assume that the democrats will be motivated divided and out they'll be motivated to vote the republicans okay let's just say that they're motivated to vote that doesn't mean anything it's up to those independent voters and if the independent voters are with the president then the they will they will do something that's only happened for other times in history if it's like every other time that has happened in history then the house you know maybe even the senate may go but that's the thing it is going to be about the economy and it will always be about the president's job performance at that point in time that's why i thought it was appropriate because that's what people are gonna go based off of so let me get laran if you're ready if not go ahead Chris yeah i just want to interject so if you guys want my personal opinion and we can obviously were having a space about this but i feel like we might lose the house i think the house that but i don't think the margins can be a crazy margin i think democrats maybe one plus four if that was my if that was my guess i think republicans hold the senate um... democrats had an outside chance for a little bit but with the type of uh... the type of people that decided to push through some primaries you're gonna get a lot of them so not only you're gonna get you're gonna get you're gonna get independence and you know that's my other thing we have to discuss it's not just you can pull these people but who's actually going to show up to vote and who's motivated to vote and that's going to actually swing a lot of these elections so we'll see who uh... does better in these districts of getting out getting out and getting people out to vote because i think some democrats will be motivated but some won't and i've talked to a few democrats that aren't really motivated and some of these swing states with some of the candidates that got elected in their primaries so like as we look at you know like we have republicans that aren't motivated by some hardcore magick anitz democrats have that's the same thing like we always forget they have a site to and they're not all the same and they get labeled as a same but there are some that are more regular people that are real happy with what's going on on their side as well so i think it's gonna be a lot more dynamic than people think i don't think there's just an easy answer but that's me being long-winded no i think you kind of i think that's to truth though it's uh... there's not gonna be it's not going to be definitive one way or the other like it's not like one side is going to get twenty seats or thirty seats i don't think it's that because i don't think that it dot at least from what i like you i hear democrats that are they're kind of done with our party to and they're not exactly motivated the differences though there will be people that will the right the red i'm sorry the republican party in primary i'm sorry in primaries were not great i don't see like in florida getting thirty percent for the primary you're not gonna get sixty percent of republicans to show up unfortunately if you do great and that is really what it's going to boil down to is the turnout part and go ahead saltwater dot and want to cut you off now you're fine christ i agreed with what you said a hundred percent and he was well-nathen but i did want to offer this as well what i did notice was and this is my opinion from everything i read i do see donald trump being blamed for a lot that a lot of policy problems that our country's facing for instance that doesn't have anything to do with him like we know he can't control the gas prices but unfortunately that's falling in his lap but what i also found interesting we did spaces and spaces just two years ago what's it's facing can you hear me yeah we don't know it's like that yeah i had a phone call um what the country was facing and i find it fascinating that the two years ago we were facing immigration the social issues and crime that's not even being talked about now and that is what's being blamed on trump um it's almost like the country thinks that immigration solved uh crime is solved uh our foreign affairs solved however if we go back to liberal policies aren't we back in the same boat we were in again so i was hoping that we could talk about that a little bit um why the shift and why people no longer care about those values and why we're not trying to keep those safe and make sure our border stays right where it is and the only thing that i could come up with is because we're caring more about what's coming out of our pocket than anything else and i know many people in this room are like suck it up it costs money we'll tell that to someone who um has to not pay their light bill to buy food and those are voters too thank you that was um i'm so glad you said that because that is very important um and but someone else wrote some uh in the purple film i really want it this is i don't anticipate republicans gaining seats in the house of the senate the average american those not on x struggled financially under Biden and now under this administration and people aren't happy and that's really it this is not it's a midterm election no one is going to care about foreign policy because foreign policy doesn't keep their lights on no one is going to care about a lot of the other stuff the border thank god that that is an issue that's off the table but even if it was on the table the fact that people do have to make decisions as to which bills that they're going to pay that is an enormous thing and when the economy is the way that it is you can whistle and dance all you want but people are going to vote based off of their pocketbooks go ahead Lauren and then we'll get to Derek and then we'll get to beach and uh america go ahead and Lauren hey can you guys hear me okay yes okay good um glad to see everybody um so i agree salty about that the trump wins um i thought he did well on the economy in his first term not so much now really um and unfortunately yeah that's the most important thing in the midterms um i agree with chris's assessment like 100% of what he said about the midterms i don't think it'll be a huge margin but i definitely think the democrats are going to take the house i think there was kind of a chance for a little bit for the democrats to take the senate but like whatever happened in Maine with the grand planer and then michigan i don't think of dual lsa is it's gonna win the state um and if stevens were to win the primary i think she would have won that election so basically i don't i don't think that they have as much of a chance anymore to win back the senate um and then also chris i agree you said that a lot of democrats are going to stay home but i just want to point out like we're basically just lucky that there's so much dysfunction going on over there because um regardless of how you feel about trump i think you guys obviously know how i feel but um people are you know his approval is low so we just the midterms were already not going to go well and um like republicans for some reason just don't like to vote in the midterms i don't know what their problem is or or just when trump is in on the ballot i guess there's a lot of people that just stay home so basically we're just lucky that there's a lot of dysfunction because i think if there weren't um we would it these races would do a lot a lot more strongly the other way thank you so much Derek come on up here brother what are your thoughts yeah i don't um have two new odds of an opinion honestly on trump's second term i think that i could say that i didn't um like trump in his first term um i wasn't a fan of his presidency in the first term but there were a lot more things that i could acknowledge that were successful for example i mean just like uh the appointment of drone Powell to the federal reserve who who i think was very qualified um you know i think his supreme court picks were you know conservatives more conservative than my picks but were three highly qualified people um the abraham Accords but i i mean i think that this this term i have a much lower opinion of altogether i think he sees much less restrained by more responsible people i mean there's still some things i can pick out uh sparkorubio was probably the best pick that he could have made for secretary of state i think that that's i certainly think if he fires rubio his approval rating will i mean you know normally voters don't care much about foreign policy but i think that you know among like normal swing voters firing Marco rubio would really tank his approval rating uh and i think and then there's some things that rubio has done that i agree with like i think rubio has done a pretty good job on on on Syria but um which which which which which was a really difficult situation that they inherited so i don't i don't want to minimize that um they recently negotiated the agreement between the Kurds and the new government in Damascus to integrate their military forces um but the the united states negotiated that agreement so um yeah so there's some stuff like that but i mean the tariffs have been a disaster um we've completely eroded so many us alliances um which is the largest cost of the tariffs the corruption of this administration is substantially more widespread than than a previous president seeming to the point that we don't even talking like like Lori Chavette Ramer got chased out for being basically nakedly corrupt as secretary of labor and nobody even talks about it because she's just like the median cabinet person at this point um so yeah i think it's really bad um there's some positive things i can say the Artemis program is going well although i don't i don't i trump did did place a big emphasis on nasa in his first term so i guess that's and Jared Isaacman was a good appointment to nasa but i'm like i like space stuff so i don't think most voters really care that much about that and i will say the only reason that democrats aren't going to win a huge majority in the house i think is because of gerry vandering i mean we have much fewer competitive districts it i'm not saying we just have way fewer competitive districts today than we did in 2018 i mean in a tornado 2018 map yeah i think they'd win potentially a larger majority than they won 2018 so it's not really like it's misleading to say that that's a good like a positive sign for the republican party now i think the senate probably republicans are favored but i think it's very close um there is there's a tale scenario where a lot of these states that wouldn't normally be competitive like texas and ayowa and ohio and alaska you know the democrats put democrats put forward some terrible candidates in michigan but i don't know i mean the national environment michigan obviously had fucking sucks right uh and they also fucked up florida but i don't think they were ever going to win florida anyways but like you know the the national environment so bad that they could still win michigan and main despite having a far worse candidate quality and then they have a they're winning in terms of the candidate quality in by a lot in alaska texas ayowa and ohio so there's still a chance that um that the democrats could win the senate but you know i like it's it's not really i i think oh and and obviously in north carolina and georgia too like north carolina there it right that's not even we're not even talking about the fact that their north carolina's a state that democrats have found very disappointing in federal elections and it basically looks like war at cooper is going to win because tom tillis got chased out like it's not even i don't even think republicans think that they have much of a shot at this point in north carolina so i mean they have like an outside shot i don't want to see zero percent but maybe like a look like a less than 20 percent chance in north carolina so that's pretty bad so i think it's going very poorly um i think it is uh i think it's going very poorly if you vote for the president i think it's going very poorly if you didn't vote for the president so um yeah that's that's my basic opinion of where the presidency the president is at at this point but i don't i also don't think also it makes a point it doesn't seem to me like trump really cares like i don't know that it's that important to him how the republicans do in the midterms uh the things that he's focusing on or issues like the ballroom and like the reflecting pool things that voters just don't care about like like like nobody is vote gonna like right he's emphasizing