Midterms Results | The Political Theater

170,000 votes counted. So that's not very much for the early vote to tell us what's really going on. Seeing how there was almost 1.7 million there. So we need to be able to see what the difference is between early vote and non-early vote for us to be able to make any determination there. If you start to see a dramatic change on the early vote, then that'll tell us a lot more. What's going on in New York on the Lawler's seat? Is that one still trending properly? I'm curious to see how that one's going. Well, that's what I'm talking about. It looks to me like I'm not looking at good numbers as of right now. Now that we, yeah, it's not a good sound at all. I'll tell you right now, it's not looking good. Now again, by the way, she's, she's, 93% of the vote is in. And it's looking like Moody is up already a couple points. Now, it doesn't really matter if she wins by a couple points because winning is winning. It doesn't really matter. But you know, it's curious to see if we're going to see some dramatic shift here because the polls were showing actually Moody up dramatically. So we'll see if we see polls wrong there. In Ohio, I've been watching this one pretty closely and it's starting to pull back in the opposite direction right now. We've only got, there's only 30 something percent of the vote in and it's all from the big blue counties. So Ohio is all of the Republican margin in Ohio comes from the counties, the smaller counties around the areas, not any of the big blue cities. So you're going to have to see that just start to shift back in the opposite direction and they're going to start out strong there. Looks like the same sort of thing in Texas because the big counties have showed up for Tallarico but they have not showed up everywhere else yet. So we're going to have to wait until you see it to see a little bit more turnout from the, or a little bit more of the results from the county area, the rural areas for there actually be a useful data there. I don't know what's going on in South Carolina. It's just as slow as ever watching the results come in on that. I'm watching as close as I can to see what happens in the governor's race, which I'm still kind of confused by. The governor's race is still showing significantly less votes overall in Florida, like dramatically. Oh, no, no, no, no, it's updated. Okay, never mind. Now it's updated and it's actually in line with the Senate race, something changed and they fixed it because before it was down, there was like a dramatic difference, like a very dramatic difference and it looks like Byron Donald's is pulling ahead of Jolly. And with 93% of the votes, go ahead. Okay. Okay. Well, now that one was actually, we looked at that one. We actually wasn't that, it wasn't that close. Her previous win there was by like, was by like four or five points, we'll in a presidential and now she's won by most of the votes are in now. Looks like she's going to win by a point or two. So you know, it looks, that's probably normal. You can remember we're in a midterm election. So winning by five points during a presidential with Trump on the ballot was never going to happen. The question is, are you still going to win by at least eight point or two? So if there's a three point swing in a midterm, that's not a whole lot. All right, that's not a huge, that's not a big change. What you're really looking to see is if something like, you know, if it was less than 50% and you were seeing a, you know, Ashley Moody getting, you know, it looks like Ashley midders going to end up winning by three or four points now because the votes are now 93% and it's starting to pull ahead. Byron Donald's doing the same thing. So, you know, if they win by four or five points each, then that's, you know, that's not bad. The question would be how much of a difference is it? I am surprised that Jolly's doing better than I thought he would do in Florida. So that is, to me, I'm not saying that any of that's good because it's not. To me, it looks like it's, it's obviously a little bit, the polls themselves could be right in some of these places. We'll have to wait and see what the results are after because the biggest problem again, I have with it is that the rural counties is what I want to watch. So, Florida is reporting, but we'll see what the final result in Florida is. Oh, yeah, well, that was always obvious. Well, the deal is that, you know, it may be important, but we have to remember here that I don't care if we lose two seats in the Senate as long as we keep 51. That's the only thing I'm aiming for here. We have a low bar. Okay, so, you know, everyone talking about whether or not we see a dramatic shift in certain parts of the country. Sure, we could, but the question is, are we gonna keep the Senate? That's all that matters. I mean, all you have to do is get over the line to get the Senate race. Do I want to see Amy act and lose in Ohio? Absolutely, I hate Amy act and I don't want her to win at all. I hope she loses terribly. But do I care if Byron Donald's wins by five points or one point? No, I don't really give a shit. But as long as we pull out the Senate seat in both Florida, Texas, and, you know, we get one more, which we'll be able to see, by the way, no updates for Maine yet. I want to see what if Susan Collins manages to pull that race off up there. But looks like Moody is pulling further ahead as more of the votes are coming in. Because now you've gone through all of the early votes. So the last seven percent you would think is pretty significantly Republican. So it's possible that Ashley Moody may pull ahead by another three or four points, which would put it at like plus five or plus six. So that's not, you know, that's not crazy. I do want to see where Byron Donald lands. Waiting to see more votes out of Ohio still not really a whole lot in. The only three places that have really reported with 33% of the vote in was in the three big blue counties. So we'll have to wait until we see more. Yeah, I mean, it's possible. But it looks to me like the numbers are actually lining up though. You know, it's not that bigger but deal. Well, what are the results at right now? 15% of the vote count. Wait a minute, I'm on the house. How are they calling that already? There's literally 21% of the vote in. Really? With 21% of the vote in. Now let's see here, 22% of the votes in. And there's 93,000 votes in and 57,000 votes for Sanunu. 93 for popus. I don't see how you call it with only 21% of the vote in though. And not for a Senate race. It's one thing if you have got it for a house race because it's pretty easy to tell in that scenario. But I don't see how you do that for a Senate race. I still find it incredible that they're already calling Sanunu. They're calling New Hampshire that early. I don't see that being likely. But you know, that's okay. We're just going to keep watching to see what happens here. I will say that it looks like the overall election turnout here is not showing up well for Republicans in general. Now whether or not that matters in the end, we'll see. But it's not looking good. Yeah, I think it's, I mean, look at these, some of these seats. So like people are acting like we need to be terrified or something right now because they're seeing, we're seeing some turnout here. And we're just scrolled a couple of things on X here. I'm just looking at a couple of these seats. So a lot of the incumbents, Brian Mast, you know, Gimines, looks like those are still winning by, you know, five points easily, you know, we're not, we don't need to win by bazillion points in every single one of these places. By the way, guys, interestingly enough, Randy fine looks like he's going to win by almost 20 points, which is pretty funny. Well, that was obvious. No one, no one even sort of thought that Wattley was going to win. Yeah, Laura Trump would have done it, but the deal is that she didn't want to be in politics. That's the deal there. By the way, so just so we're aware of what's going on here down in Florida, because people were talking about this as if it was some sort of, you know, Bell weather that was something was going on here. Moody is pulling ahead pretty significantly now. Yeah, Moody's, yeah, it's panhandle.