Binance $6B hack!; $INTC & $AMZN plunge; $GOOGL -12%; Druck & perps

David D. Tawil Subscribe Podcast 1h 35m 0 downloads Added 2026-10-31 #Trending

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加密市场本周遭遇史上最大规模盗窃事件,Binance与Polymarket相继被黑,叠加传统金融股暴跌,市场对中心化机构信任出现系统性动摇。 - Binance遭史上最大单笔加密盗窃,涉及约60亿美元客户资产;Polymarket同日也被黑,但影响相对较小。 - 主讲人Carlo警告,整个金融系统正遭受利用AI寻找漏洞的恶意行为者持续攻击,大型机构的结构完整性正被击穿。 - 市场情绪极度恐慌,叠加电网、互联网、银行等基础设施受威胁的叙事,"每天感觉都像零日漏洞日"。 - 传统市场同步承压:ServiceNow跌27%、Pillar跌9.3%(2020年3月以来最差)、亚马逊跌4.3%、英特尔盘后跌25%(PC需求疲软)。 - 亮点个股:Crocs涨25%(2020年4月以来最大涨幅)、超流质策略涨23%、再生元营收增35%、雪佛龙和埃克森等石油股表现强劲。 - 三大央行(美联储、欧央行、日央行)本周均按兵不动,但均被视为鹰派暂停,12月行动仍有可能。 - Stan Druckenmiller投资Hyperliquid支持永续合约交易,被视为值得关注的风向转变。 结论:在"没有零风险的价值储存手段"这一前提下,投资者应保持冷静、分散托管风险,而非在恐慌中做出仓促决定。

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obviously the hack at Polymarket as well. And then we also got a talk about, and I hope Dave Levinson is ready to talk about this too, Stan Druckenmiller supporting perpetual futures trading with an investment in hyper-liquid, just an interesting turn of events, terms of yesterday, other than the Google Story Service Now, down 27%, they guided to a slowdown, Crocs, the footwear, up 25%, it's biggest gain since April 2020, hyper-liquid strategies, thicker PUR, are up 23 and a third percent, how to pillar outstanding numbers, worst day since March 2020, down 9.3% on the day. If it wasn't bad enough, Amazon was down 4.3% yesterday only to lead into earnings after the bell, Dave Levinson, you gotta hold that hand there, my friend, there's a bunch before that I get to, that hand, hang on, I gotta get to Carlo first, because he's gonna have to bolt and he's needed for a bunch. So the big news overnight is Intel down 25%, PC weakness is the name of the game there. If you think it's overblown on the basis of PC weakness, could be a buying opportunity, Amazon, right after they reported was down double digits, it's been paired, but all this is while the market is not open, so we'll see what happens when it does open down between 7 and 8%, alpha that not getting a bounce from yesterday's fall, not surprising since Intel and Amazon are down. There are other types of companies reporting these days, all the oil companies crushing it, Chevron, Xon, BP on the side of tech, ready, changing its policy is a big deal, we'll talk about it in a little bit, down about 20%, Roblox down around 17%, the other space that's been doing well in terms of earnings has been the former space AstraZeneca reported up 3.5 pre-market, regeneron, also up a lot, 35% in the pre-market. Oh, I'm sorry, excuse me, its revenue is up 35%, it's higher in the pre-market, apologies. We're done with central banks for a little while and the Bank of Japan held today, the ECB held on Thursday, the Fed held on, held on Wednesday, all of those holds if Andy Kaufman joins all those holds seen as hawkish holds and all three are seen to be quite live when it comes to a December move. Just to get this couple of other earnings Starbucks, turn around working stock up and that has been a pretty hefty job, we'll see if it sticks, general dynamics in the defense space, in the industrial space, a beaten arrays, co-get palmole live also a beaten raise and we'll have a couple more as the show rolls on. Let me get to Carlo immediately. So we gotta talk about the Binance hack, which affects roughly $6 plus billion of the exchanges holdings on behalf of customers. There was a polymarket hack as well, I don't think it's necessarily as important coin base reported. Its profit was up despite, I would say a very midling crypto quarter and then we gotta talk about perpetual futures and what Stan Druckenmiller seasoned them. So Carlo, good morning, go ahead. Oh David, what a week. This is a moment I think where people are justifiably scared because the very trust in many of the centralized institutions that we've come to depend on for custodian, not only our crypto assets, but our banking funds, our investments. The entire financial system is currently under a sustained attack by bad actors who are using AI to find vulnerabilities and it is hitting and it is breaking the structural integrity of some of the largest players in the space. And the Binance hack yesterday is the largest single theft exploit ever in crypto for sure. Binance suffered the largest crypto theft on record and I've put an article up kind of breaking that down but also circling around to just kind of giving some people a little bit of guidance in this storm because Elon posted it and I had to sort of build on that every day now feels like it's zero day. Every day between polymarket, between Binance, between the attacks on banks, between the attacks on markets and financial institutions, people are starting to worry that there is no safe place to put your money and I think it's important that we zoom out David and we just take a pause here and breathe. Yes, the doom loop that we are seeing is very rightfully justified. What we've seen over the last few days and what is building as far as the continued narrative around not only financial institutions being under siege but concerns about the grid and infrastructure, nation states coming out and telling citizens to prepare for potential disruptions in the internet, in banking, in utilities. It is rightfully justified for people to be scared right now but I wanted to pivot to the fact that yes, there is no zero risk store of value and that applies to everyone on this space whether you're in crypto, whether you are trading and holding equities, whether your money is sitting in cash, even if your money is sitting in cash under your mattress or in gold in your safe, all of these things come with a potential for exploit and loss. But the important thing to do is to not panic during these times. Of course exchanges have counterparty and operational risk okay, then put your crypto off exchanges and put it in cold storage and hardware while it's well that we've learned comes with its own set of risk because of supply chain and these devices being compromised in the supply chain yesterday's hack of finance was a hot wallet. Apparently the source of this was a laptop which opened an attack vector that allowed finances signature infrastructure for that wallet to be exploited and the most incredibly ironic thing of the day, David is who would have bet that two stablecoin issuers circle and tether would be the heroes of this thing by having immediately executed freezes on a lot of these assets that were taken in this what is estimated now to be a $6.3 billion drain. This is going to have a ripple effect. It's caused Bitcoin to tumble. I expect markets to open in the red today based on the response to this and I think it will take some time for this to unwind. Binance is trying to recover as much as they can for the consumer but I think it is important David before I hand the mic back and happy to answer any questions and continue the conversation. Whether it be an exchange, whether it be a financial trading app, whether it be cold storage, hot wallets, banks and even cash, there is some degree of counterparty risk in all of these things. But the worst thing you can do is feel a sense of urgency right now and panic and make sloppy moves and even greater mistakes could be made in these moments of panic. So the best thing to do in closing, make sure you have the strongest available to factor authentication that the accounts where your funds are being held offers you. Hardware keys like Ubiquiz, two factor authentication through separate apps are certainly better than simply relying on a text message verification. If you've got your crypto and long term cold storage, obviously be very careful. Multicignature seems to be things that people are talking about, puts your crypto and multicig. But even that David comes with a risk because right now you don't know who's exploited, you don't know what devices have been compromised. So if you ran out and tried to institute a multicignature and that simply means having two separate devices or two separate protocols in place to sign before you can move your crypto, if you add a new one to your upseq, you don't know if what you have just signed up for is exploited. You don't know if the device you just ordered and got delivered to your house has been tampered with. So exercise a bit of caution in everything you do. Keep your software upgraded. Make sure your passwords are strong and resilient and not redundant across all of your accounts and try to limit the surface of the threat to you personally. In other words, control what you're capable of controlling and accept that there are things that are gonna be beyond your control as this thing continues to unwind. And I think that is an important public service announcement in the mix of all that's going on right now because the timeline is definitely scared right now. There's no other way to characterize it, David. Back to you. Great. Let me just add a couple things for the audience. First of all, Binance has pledged to cover all the losses. Okay, so it's just Binance taking this on and I think we're gonna see that more and more often. Obviously, that money has to come from somewhere. And so clearly from Binance's profitability, when I say we'll see this more and more, I think financial institutions to the extent that there is no other backing are going to use their profits to pay it back. Carlos point about the coordinated freezing by competitors, by peer firms, tether circle, so on is also something that I think we will continue to see if everyone operates in sync. It makes the system better over time and wards off the hackers. The hackers in this case are, have been preliminaryly identified as emanating from North Korea. And I think that it's gonna stick at six, this is my opinion. I think it's gonna stick at six billion in terms of the size it's not gonna grow, but that being said, I don't think a lot of this is going to be recoverable. And before you go, Carlos, on the flip side of this, not to say that this is not an incredible event in the history of crypto, but I do wanna talk a little bit about Visa and MasterCards earnings because the annualized stablecoin settlement volume for these folks are up 10X year over year, 10 blockchains they're operating on 200 plus card programs. And their stocks are at all time highs and since you focus largely on the stablecoin world, what does this mean for you, for them, and for their peers that are crypto first as opposed to Visa and MasterCards which are not necessarily crypto native firms. Yeah, outstanding question. And it confirms what we have been talking about on this show for months that stablecoins are the future of dollars. And these major players understand that and despite the banks and their hand ringing and their opposition front that they presented to stablecoins, they have to an extent capitulated. The Genius Act regulations are going live. They've been approved by OCC and the line has been drawn. And yeah, the banks will litigate it and they'll fight it but they're gonna lose that fight in my estimation because ultimately everyone understands that markets are gonna go 24-7. The Drunken Miller News about the hyper-liquid thing should give you even further confirmation.

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