📈 BITCOIN BULL? ALTCOINS PRINTING. S&P500 ATH!

Zach Humphries 订阅播客 2h 9m 0 次下载 收录于 2026-10-07 #热门

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作者分享自己2025年至今罗宾汉组合涨约24%–25.5%、跑赢标普500约13%,核心操作是7月底苹果约340美元时卖出转向当时较高点跌约40%–50%的AI股美光,并继续看好MSTR/ASST等比特币放大敞口。 - 7月底苹果约340美元,如今约332美元;作者认为当时是转向AI的好时机,但不是建议所有人卖出苹果。 - 他把罗宾汉账户当作主动管理“游乐场”,目标是跑赢标普500;若不跑赢,就该直接买标普500。 - 另外两个在嘉信理财、由他人管理的组合,支付约1%费用,用于低风险和国际分散。 - 美光从约1200美元跌到约740美元后被他重仓切换,目前已回到1000美元以上;GE Vernova也回到1000美元以上。 - ASST(Strive)的2028年1月到期的22/25/35美元看涨期权分别上涨约81%/83%/87%。 - 他持有MSTR与ASST现货;MSTR约123美元买入,现约167美元;整体更偏向用期权放大比特币行情。 - 也有拖累项:OpenDoor仍在亏,Robo Strategy约26美元接近成本、基本持平,他希望突破40美元后在30美元区间整理;Robinhood在65/68/70美元加仓是今年成功关键之一。 结论:若主动选股长期跑不赢标普500,就应降低个股操作、转向指数投资。

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in July was basically trending higher. It was up at 340. It was $340 a share. And it was flying. It was going against the grain, if you guys remember. Remember Apple was like the safe haven, the safe place to be during the AI fallout? To me, that was the perfect time to pivot and sell my Apple and go heavier into AI. Cause I was capturing AI when it was down 50% from its all time highs. So Apple was trading at 340 back there in late July. It's now trading at 332. I would have lost money so far staying in Apple. Now obviously Apple's a phenomenal company. It's going to do great. Like I'm not saying sell your Apple, right? I just wanted to get exposure to the AI trade and I'm looking there and I'm seeing micron down 50% from its all time high or close to it at that point. It had come down from basically 1200 down to like 740. So not quite, call it 40% down from its all time high. And I said, what the hell, man? I still have exposure to Apple through the spy, through some of my other ETFs and my long-term stuff. My Robinhood portfolio for me is the portfolio I manage. I put a post out last night to my subscribers here on X. The portfolio I manage is up 24% year to date. So I'm outperforming the S&P 500. The S&P 500's up 13%. And that's my goal with my individual portfolio. It takes some more risk and outperform the S&P 500. Because if you're not performing the S&P 500 with your individual risk on stock portfolio, then you're not good at it. You shouldn't do it. I mean, it's just, it's honestly that simple. If you're not good at it, just invest in the S&P 500 and forget about it. But I have two other stock portfolios that I don't manage that are within Charles Schwab, that I have somebody else manage. I pay the 1% fee, whatever it is what it is, right? And I like that. Some would say, oh, why don't you just manage all your stuff? Honestly, I like having those two that I don't have to look at. I like that it's gonna be low risk. They're gonna be able to move stuff around. Give me exposure to the international place. And then my Robin Hood account is my playground. This is where I like to, I need to shine here with this, right? And so far, a year to date, man, I'm happy with the performance. Like I mentioned, let's see, actually, as of last night, year to date, I was up 23%. Currently, right now, it's probably up a little bit just because we got some green in the market. Yeah, right around 24% year to date. So I'll take that all day, man. Again, if you can outperform the S&P 500, you know, that's a win, you know, actually 25 and a half percent now year to date. And one of those big winners was me, for me was micron, you know, a pivoting from Apple to micron in a pretty big way too. You know, I made a nice move there. And micron's now, you know, trading them back above $1,000. I've talked about GE Vernovas, part of the energy trade, GEV back over $1,000 after some pullbacks. I've been in that trade since 2024. You know, I opened up some long-term call options on ASST. Those have just been amazing for me. They're a big reason why I'm up, you know. I don't do a ton of options trading, but I'm actually pretty decent at it. I went back and looked at my options trading performance from 2024 to now. My hit rates actually surprisingly good. You're gonna lose some plays on options, but yeah, I mean, I bought these ASST calls back on August 25th. Back on August 25th, this is strive, the digital asset treasury company for Bitcoin. I bought $22 calls, $25 calls and $35 calls, all the way out till January 21st, 2028. And with those three contracts, I'm up 81%, 83%, and 87%. So listen, man, if Bitcoin is going to get in a crazy run, I want exposure to the amplification. And to me, it's MSTR and ASST. I own both of them spot and then I've got those three option calls on ASST. I don't have any long-term options on micro strategy, but I did buy it around 123 on MSTR. And that's proven to look pretty good here so far. I mean, MSTR is now trading at 167. And I went in pretty heavy, you know, pretty heavy for me. So it's been a great win there. I have some stuff that's down on my portfolio too. Like I still have some stuff that is relatively flat. I'm down on open door. You know, I'm still kind of hurting there. Robo strategy right now looks pretty good. You know, but when it comes back to like 26 bucks, that's basically my average cost. So, you know, pretty flat when it comes back into that range. But who knows, hopefully we break out of here for good. Finally, at least find some price discovery on Robo strategy. I'd love to get back above like 40 bucks on that and then start to consolidate in like, you know, the 30s rather than the 20s. So eventually I think that'll happen. I'm Robinhood picking, you know, picking up Robinhood shares at 65, 68 bucks and $70. I mean, that's been a big part of my success this year. My iron play is basically flat. You know, it hasn't really done much this year, but I'll still hold it. But those are the real big winners, you know, the micron move that I made when I basically sold Apple at all time highs, got into micron when it was 40% down. That was a big play. Just staying in GE Vernova, because it's up, you know, another 65% year to date, just basically staying there, not doing anything is proven to be a good idea. Robinhood, that move, oh, I made a good move on circle, you know, getting into circle at $64 a share, you know, trading at 85 right now, consolidating. MSTR at 123 and 125 picking up a good amount of shares there. Those have been the wins and the ASST, you know, long term calls. And then you look up and, you know, yeah, there's a couple losers there in the portfolio as always, but I'm basically doubling the performance of the S&P 500 year to date. And I mean, we're in October. So I can't be upset. I'm doing well with that. Excited about what's to come and I feel like I'm super well positioned here for what's to come with the crypto bull market. Cause, you know, I got a lot exposure to it, with ASST and MSTR and then I've got BMNR, which I'm basically flat on by the way. That's the Ethereum debt. You know, I've got circle, I've got Robinhood. I got out of Coinbase for now. You know, I had some exposure there. I just got out of it for now. I basically got that close to par and, you know, I'll reevaluate once I kind of, you know, but I wanted to get into some other things. You know, I got a long term call option on Tempest AI. That's up 21% right now. That's ticker TEM. I'm down heavily on my TE, T1 energy, down 37% on that long term call. But all these calls are out until January 21st, 2028. So I don't really care. I'm in a hyper liquid that per that that, I got to play there. I'm down 8% on that. Then I'm down 27% on a company called IOS. That's the ticker IOS. This is kind of a risky play, but it's a pharmaceutical company, biotech company. So, but it's a long term call option. So we'll see. I mean, that price is down and out. I think it, you know, these biotech companies, when they move, they move hard. So I do like getting exposure there. I've got exposure to ARC G in my longer term portfolios with Schwab. That's just kind of my set it and forget it. I basically called my guy and said, hey, I'm gonna take some stabs at some biotech companies by myself, but just give me ARC G for now, you know, on the less risky side. So, but let's get into crypto guys. You guys are probably more here for crypto, but if you're in crypto, you should also be in equities. Like if you're in here locked in every day, like why not be in the stocks too? That's the way I see it. So hopefully you guys are. I think it's a good idea. Just like, you know, you could still be a passive investor in the stock market, but why not be active men as well? Like there's so many, so many great opportunities in stocks too. So, all right, let's take a look what's going on around the crypto sphere here. Layer zero leading right now of top 100 cryptos, ZRO, layer zero, making a move. I've got exposure to that one in my automated trading bots. So I like that. You know, I don't have direct exposure. That's the nice thing. You know, I don't have direct exposure to everything in the crypto market, but then I can get some exposure to it in other ways through my automated trading systems. So, render, R-E-N-D-R, render up 10% on a nice bounce, radium, which has been looking good for a while, you know, part of the Salona ecosystem. That's up about 10%. Midnight continues to look really good. The privacy play on Cardano, it's now up 63%. In the last seven days. So, some nice price performance there. Midnight, the leader in the last seven days in price performance followed by layer zero. Then you've got stacks, which is smart contracts on Bitcoin, STX, and then radium, kind of leading the way there. World coin also, bounce pretty nicely. It's up 13%. On the week. Yeah, some moves I made. You know, I'll tell you guys this now, because I already, you know, I revealed my entire portfolio recently to my subscribers here on X. It's four bucks a month if you guys want to join too. You could see everything I'm doing. It's not going to stay that low forever, but I'm going to be doing a lot more subscriber-only spaces, et cetera. But I got a big position in BNB now, man. I got a big position in BNB. It's one of my largest positions. You know, I had some call it trapped capital and also some stable coins that I was kind of just waiting to deploy and I shifted some things around big position in BNB. The more I looked at it, you know, it was the one asset that, you know, set an all-time high, performed like Bitcoin last cycle. And so, you know, I like getting exposure to Ethereum, BNB, and XRP at the top. You guys know how I'm getting exposure to Solana. A lot of it is not direct exposure to Sol. I just feel like there's some asymmetric bets around it. You know, one of those names, I've got about four names that I, you know, get to my exposure on Solana with. I'll give you one. You guys have heard me say it over and over and over and over again, pumped.fun. So yeah, that's kind of what I'm doing there. Hyper Liquid, I basically beefed up a position there by selling, you know, my lighter shares and, you know, taking the win there, taking the profits, set a little side for short-term capital gains tax and still one big. And then, you know, moved those profits over into Hyper Liquid. I'm still in the Zcash trade. You know, I'm up big. I've taken some profits along the way. I still want to see that thing through a little bit. And I think it's still very, very early in this cycle. So we're still there. Monero XMR, I had a 10X long open there. I ended up getting out of it. I won big on it. Just ended up exiting it. Getting back into a cash position there. Just more cash, just ready to deploy. I think XLM is undervalued here. I think it's, you know, been stuck here at like 2021, 22 cents. They got a great thing going with the DTCC and tokenization for next year. They're just kind of, they're just kind of there in the top 16 right now, basically just hanging out, not getting a lot of attention. You guys know I'm into the near trade. I got Uniswap. I haven't touched Canton yet, but I'm always watching to kind of see what's what. You can't buy everything. BitTens or Tau, I look at that similar to how I look at XLM. You know, it hasn't had a big move yet, but I think it's due. I think Quant looks great. Quant's just consolidating. Had a little pop last night, came back down within the range, but I think it's just coiling up for a big move. I think people aren't realizing what Quant could potentially be here this cycle. I think, you know, the, and people are like, well Zach, why didn't you buy into it when it was low? I mean, it's easy to say that, right? It's because, I mean, it's really easy, guys, because Quant didn't have a massive deal with the clearinghouse in the United States. Like, that changes the thesis. And I think a lot of people, they see the big move that Quant had and they just, well, I missed it. And I get it because sometimes you don't want to chase it, but at the same time, you're not really chasing because Quant ran up to like 360 and now it's pulled back to like 250. So you're getting it at a nice pullback, in my opinion. Can we go lower in the short term? Can we come down to like 200? Yeah, we saw it. It was...

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