Siege Warfare: Iran under pressure Kharg Island shut down
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**总体概述**
这段音频是一次播客讨论,核心围绕特朗普近日发布的一段关于对伊朗三大战略的视频——包括持续施压、强硬打击和全面经济控制。参与者分析了特朗普的经济学背景及其执行“经济围困”的可信度,同时表达了对其“只说不做”的失望,并呼吁耐心等待实际进展。音频中还穿插了关于加密货币可追溯性以及直播技术问题的闲谈。
**要点**
- 特朗普在视频中提出三种对伊策略:让伊朗自行崩溃、狠狠打击、以及通过经济控制(自称“我就是他们的银行家”)实施围困。
- 一位发言者强调特朗普拥有沃顿商学院经济学学位,且有过成功经验,因此他是谈经济战最适合的人。
- 但同一位发言者也批评特朗普常放狠话却未兑现,比如他曾承诺任何船只在霍尔木兹海峡遇袭都会回应,却未见行动。
- 核心观点是:“talk doesn't win wars”——光说不练没用,特朗普需要用实际行动证明自己,而不是只上节目演“你被解雇了”。
- 另一位参与者提到,虽然外界看不到明显结果,但确实有事情在推进,例如最近有报道称加密货币交易其实可以被追踪,这制约了伊朗通过加密资产规避制裁。
- 现场人员表达了对长期未见成果的沮丧,但认为必须继续耐心等待。
- 音频中还夹杂了技术小插曲:主持权限问题、手机重启、电脑登不上、狗狗乱叫等,显示了直播的日常混乱。
**结论或行动建议**
对特朗普的伊朗战略,应该像节目中所说——“保持耐心并持续关注”,但更重要的是用实际成果来检验那些豪言壮语,而非只听口头承诺。
转写文本
Okay, tell you what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna I'm gonna log out. I'm going to work
You have to log into your computer
Whatever you do will not work you have to log in on the computer because the invite is there and you have to
Get it off and then come back
All right, I'll try I
Okay, I'll wait for you Ron with a video. Don't believe him. He's a hacker. Don't believe him
Um, Ariel your connections rubbish is usual. Yes, it is
It's a rubbery. Yes. All right
Yeah, so the video if you have it
Make sure it sounds good. Why if you need me to play it send it to me
I mean I can send it to you. It's on the nest. It's up on the nest
It's the video of Trump outlines three options for Iran. That's the one
If you want to play it from here from the on your side that works too. Do you want to do that?
Yeah, I give me a minute. Let me know how you guys can hear it. Okay
You know
We guys can hear it when I play like that
Well, your dogs are
Yeah, my dogs are idiots. It's a little bit
A little bit
It's a little rubber band
I'll try it here. I have it ready here
If you want to mute your mic, okay hold on
I don't talk about strategy. Why should I talk so that you guys hear that?
We have a very powerful set it
We can just keep it along and they're gonna fail we can just keep
You know doing sort of just like nice and easy relax
Like I said, I'm sort of negotiated. Just either very devious negotiate is because the other greatest something
Then they'll go out and tell the press that right they did not
Just very dissuade as people so we have three strategies do what what I'm doing
I just pop along and look how bad they're doing because they hold the nation's they've got 300% inflation
They have no value their currency has almost no value
They have they're not paying their soldiers the soldiers are leaving to just keep that going just that can't this not sustainable
I hit them really really hard or
Just this I'd be really the third is just pure economically, but we're doing that anyway
That's sort of a part of the first so economically they are
Unless they can borrow money
We we control their money what they had just a lot they had a lot and we have total control of it
I'm their banker. I am their banker
Is the US
All right, that was a video
So basically, I don't know district if you want to talk about I mean I'm not the co-host. We're waiting for Ron to come back
But
Basically is something we've been talking about about in the space for the last more than a month
Like you know, what is he gonna do? What's the point of this like, you know all that?
So he basically stated it out and this is a like a new like I don't think I've heard about this network
the video's up on the nest
And nobody was really paying a lot of attention and then
This morning Ron and I were talking and she kind of brought it to my attention
He said see this is this is what I've been saying like for five weeks like
Until my you know faces blue
When people are like, you know, so what are we doing here? We're stopping. We're going. We're stopping
We're going and now things seem to be
I mean like you really don't hear much about what's going on to be honest except for the stupid
Articles that show up on CNN and New York Times and all that
But Trump he's basically telling us what this is all about and you know
I'm starting to turn to kind of have a little bit more faith recently. I have to say I don't know about everybody else
But district. I don't know what you think well, you know, so
economic siege first off, you know a lot of people
Trump got a degree in economics from the Wharton school of
Pennsylvania state
Back in the day before there were computers
So to get a degree in economics you I know I
In the I have economics to get a degree in economics you have to pass
Successfully with a B or better
econometrics, which if you know anything
About math and the economy you know econometrics is not an easy
Two courses to pass so right off the bat you have to understand that
Trump understands economics that was before all the experience that he had in the world
So, you know, that was the tool in his box and now you add on to that
50 plus years of freaking experience and you have somebody that understands economics really well
So if there is somebody out there that is going to be talking about
economic siege and economic warfare and how to conduct it successfully against Iran
Donald Trump's probably the guy for the job
um
He did it successfully before and he will likely do it successfully again
However, you just knew there was an however coming right so however
I would
Direct you to the purple pill and a post that Donald Trump made from social or whatever his network was back in July
I'm sure listeners to the space remember it. This was the promise that he made
That anytime I ran a tax a ship in the whole in the in the straighter four moves
The United States will respond and you know what he said about that he that goes back to the old bridges and power plant thing
Where he said we were gonna do this we're gonna do that we're gonna do something else. Okay, so look
You can talk all you fucking want okay talk talk talk talk all right talk doesn't win wars
Talk doesn't get rid of the regime
Talk doesn't do all those other things
You know, Donald Trump used to host the TV show where he demanded
accountability and action from the people that were on the show right and when he didn't get it
What did he say your
fired okay? Well
It's about time that Donald Trump begins to live up to what he's saying
If you're gonna talk to talk yet got to walk the walk and that's the way it is
For my opinion Pat you got it. Thank you
Yeah, thanks for your opinion. Um, I don't know. I'm you know like uh, okay, let's see what's going on with Ron um sniper
Hard-start updated. I am on it. Okay
um
Yeah, I mean I get it because we still don't have any results, but um there are things that are happening
I did I'm gonna find an article that uh I posted on the page
And it's about crypto, right? And remember how everybody's like oh, there's still like you know
Getting all the money through crypto because like you know anybody can trace that and whatever
Not so fast according to recent uh reports like they can actually trace the stuff that's going on with crypto and they can
um, you know, so that's a new thing
They can't but they have to be able to because that's the essence of blockchain the whole essence of blockchain
Is that you can track it?
Yeah, and I'm not a neck. I have nothing about crypto. I'll be jazz here. So maybe he can he can tell us a little bit more
I know that he's that's a thing but anyway, so there are some things that um
You know are are happening and I know the frustration. I get it right like you know like we haven't seen anything
Um, so we just have to be patient. I guess keep being patient. This rickian you can you look at the title and please fix the
Wisconsin thing because obviously there was some typo there and it's probably been crazy
I can't I'm not co-host so I can fix it. I'm trying to fix it on the server, but I can't do that either so
If you could do that that would be great. Thank you
Um, all right, so uh well run is
You know, we're figuring that out. I'll call on I see a lawn source the only hand I see on cannabis
Uh, lawns go ahead and accept did this can you hear me as a speaker but no co-host and I listen just very quickly
I did a hard restart on my phone
Okay, and I updated the twitter app my computer is not online my um
Uh, I can't get my computer to come online because I've been having some
Server problem or some issues getting logged on so my phone is it this is it this is what we got
Okay, sounds good
Well, I can't invite any other co-host
You can invite me if you want other
It doesn't let me invite any other co-host because I have two co-hosts in the list
being invited and that would be
Ron and district so even if I send right now to pat I can't
It won't work. Well, you know, we'll we'll figure it out like, you know district
We have one co-host at least and then we're all here so
You know, Ron, you can behave as co-host and you know, even if you're speaker so um
Okay, uh, let's see what Alonso has to say and then we'll go to cannabis and then run well, you know, maybe we try to sort things out
Um
Alonso
Hey um on this you I mean, I think the host should be able to cancel an invite but it with a what true knows
as far as the
the trump thing
I'm less optimistic
I this feels more like more of the same and that he doesn't know what he wants to do
And so he's
Talking as if he has a plan
I mean, yes, there there has been an economic siege and yes, it has had its
Windsor it's having effect but I mean
For really really honest, he doesn't have enough time
To carry this out to fruition and economic seats like this to topple regime would have to go for quite some time and he just
doesn't have the time
And he's torn between doing something actually meaningful kinetic and what he really could do and what would take it off his plate
And what would be probably his best option is to get out of Israel's way and just let Israel do it
Um because he doesn't want to do it but he doesn't want Israel to be credited for doing it
And so now we're just stuck in this holding pattern and 90 million people are stuck in this holding pattern
Not even 90 million people literally hundreds of millions of people
In the Middle East
In Israel and Iran in
UAE all over the place are stuck in his holding pattern
Because he doesn't want to do something kinetic but he also really just doesn't have the time to do this slowly
The way he wants to or even if he wants to because
Who knows tomorrow. He'll say something completely contradictory and I don't
I no longer think it's for each other any of that stuff
I think he really just doesn't know and every day it changes because he doesn't know what he wants to do
Um
So I don't think there's a plan. I think the economic siege
Of sorts is effective because it just is like that's just a no-brainer but
You know since he doesn't have a limitless time he doesn't have years to see
The Islamic Republic and he doesn't want to actually
Do the kinetic action required to topple regime
His best course of action is to stop pandering to Muslim Brotherhood terrorists like the Emir of Qatar and
Erdogan and to let Israel do what it needs to do
In his stead and Israel will not hesitate to or they even let just get them out of their way
And they will do it without question
So at this point that's what the plan should be
um
Sorry, I just
He has not earned
Faith and if he had and he's managed to squander all of the
Goodwill all the currency here and then I think you we we have to stop being in denial about that he has completely squandered it
He's tried to sell at 35 to Turkey
He continues to sell advanced weaponry to Saudi Arabia can have a nuclear program
Uh, he
selling advanced weapons to Qatar
It's just it's nonsense and he can't seem to want to finish the regime. He loves Pakistan
I'm sorry, but in what world does this seem like he has a cohesive idea of what the hell he's doing
At this point I don't see it
Can I interject if I'm going to be acting fake co-host? Yeah, please so Alonzo
I'm going to I ask I have two questions for you very quick number one is car guidelines closed down
Um are you asking if they're able to get oil out
Um so far yeah, it's car is cargo oil closed down
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